Landslide warning: Swiss village prepares to evacuate

The danger could quickly become fatal: A good 1.2 million cubic meters (42 million cubic feet) of rocky debris could tumble down the valley and bury the Swiss mountain village of Brienz beneath it. The debris is currently moving at a daily rate of around 25 centimeters (9.8 inches) towards the valley.
Last weekend, the geologist Stefan Schneider explained to about 90 local residents at an information event that if there were rainfall or rockfall, the speed could increase to 80 kilometers per hour (49.7 miles per hour) or more. He said that this was not likely at the moment, but if it occurred, it would likely not be possible to issue warnings in time. 
People have been told to get ready to evacuate in the coming days and warned that they might not be able to return to their homes for months. 
“Please prepare yourselves immediately,” warned Pascal Porchet, the head of the military and civil protection office for the canton of Graubünden. He told the villagers to take any valuables with them that could not be replaced, as well as whatever they needed for their daily lives.
“Since this morning there has been a feeling of fear, or perhaps, uncertainty,” Arnold von Allem, who has a house in Brienz, told Swiss radio broadcaster SRF. On Saturday morning, the authorities informed residents by text message, email and on the social media platform X (formerly Twitter) of the acute danger. Ursin Bonifazi, a farmer, told SRF about his concerns: “We are afraid of the evacuation, and we are afraid of the whole process.”
The evacuation will prove particularly difficult for those farmers who, like him, have animals. The livestock be removed from the pastures or stables and taken away. But it remains to be seen where they can go.
The same question stands for the localal residents. Jörg Marguth, who is manning a hotline for those affected, said that the municipality and canton would help people find accommodation. But he said that most would have to make their own arrangements. 
Brienz locals have had to leave before. In May 2023, there was the risk of a rockslide and the area remained closed for weeks. In June of the same year, a huge torrent of rock and debris thundered down the mountain. It stopped just a few meters away from the old school building. All the buildings in Brienz were spared, but one road and several meadows were buried under meters of scree and rubble. Residents weren’t able to return to their homes until July.
Now, the danger is potentially much greater. While the rocky debris in 2023 fell during a dry period, the rubble is now wet following a bought of rain and is more likely to bury the village, said Schneider. Though a tunnel is currently being built underneath the village to drain excess water at a cost of 40 million Swiss francs (€42 million, $45 million), it is not yet finished.
Brienz is located near Davos, where the World Economic Forum takes place every year, at an altitude of around 1150 meters. The mountain over the village has been moving for a long time, as cracks in the buildings and the slant of the church tower indicate. The ground beneath the village slides down into the valley at a rate of 2.40 meters per year.
“That’s 20 centimeters a month,” said one of the participants at the information event. He said that the damage this was causing continued to grow. “Doors that no longer close, sewers that no longer work, walls, ceilings, floors torn apart. That’s my reality.”
He also complained that although he had insurance, he would only receive a payout in the event he lost everything: “Security doesn’t just mean survival, but also emotional and existential security, and if my house, which is part of my retirement plan, goes down the drain, then I’ll have no existential security,” he said.
According to an online commentary in a Swiss newspaper about the current situation in Brienz, climate change is exacerbating erosion but was not relevant in this case. After the rockslide of 2023, the geomorphologist Michael Dietze from the University of Göttingen in western Germany said that the permafrost in the Alps was thawing as a result of human-made climate change,  but this was happening at an altitude of around 3,000 meters. He said that Brienz was too low for climate change to be the cause of this landslide.
Nevertheless, Switzerland is shifting, said Dietze. Processes on the earth’s surface were changing, especially at higher altitudes. Due to rising temperatures, forests were also now growing at higher altitudes, and this was providing more stability. At the same time, however, the permafrost was thawing. And this in turn was leading to more activity between the rock layers at higher altitudes.
This article was originally published in German.